Monday, June 27, 2016

Forecast for the Fourth of July 2016!

Taney County MO –This year, with the Fourth being on a Monday and all, a lot of us will have what amounts to a three day mini vacation holiday! Time to get that grill ready, the food purchased and a good location in the back yard or a park staked out! Now, if only the weather would play nice....

Well, the weather forecast will be a really good thing, as it turned out. It looked as though all the cloudy and icky weather is moving off stage right, leaving Taney County to bask in clearing, if somewhat cooler air, for the balance of the afternoon and into the evening hours.

So, enjoy already!

And gosh, right after the 4th, everything will dry right up as a ridge of high pressure rebuilds itself in the region.... []

Saturday, June 25, 2016

Forecast for work week starting June 27!

A weak cold front front out of the northwest will slow down as it moves through on Monday, June 27. There will be additional chances for showers and storms on Monday especially over the southern Ozarks closer to the Arkansas boundary as it moves southward. Lately, it's felt as though the weather was grinding to a halt...

A northwest flow then develops by Tuesday across the region. We will actually experience some relief from the heat and humidity by Tuesday and Wednesday! Highs middle of next week will be in the lower to middle 80's...maybe even some upper 70's for highs across central Missouri and the eastern Ozarks. Overnight temperatures will be very refreshing in the upper 50's to lower 60's. The weather looks to be high and dry for Tuesday and most of Wednesday. We will watch for a possible mesoscale convective system, (aka organized convection) developing over the Central Plains and diving to the southeast late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Periodic storm chances return for the end of next week. Thankfully, temperatures will also be more seasonable abet even more unsettled (see forecast) towards end of next week as we all prepare for the Fourth of July! [Excerpted from NWS for]

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

A strange start to the summer of 2016!

Taney County MO - I first noticed thing were a bit askew early in the month of June when my southwestern area of Missouri began racking up an almost unbroken string of 90 plus days beginning on June 9th! As I post this on the 21st, my location is over 5 degrees above average for the month! Wow.

And the heat is not just in the middle southern tier of states! It's also over in the west were currently 19 significant wildfires are raging and it's not even the real start of fire weather there!

All across the entire region, folks with AV are having to really crank it up much to the delight of the local electric coops. Some folks will see electric bills double what they had been historically and, like I said, the heat of summer has just begun! []

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Forecast for week of June 20th!

Taney County MO - On or about June the 20st, Summer will arrive (7:34 P.M. CDT) and we will all feel like we're already stuck in the summer doldrums! A meandering frontal system will provide some chances for rain to fall in a scattered fashion, but don't expect it to be too organized...

Temperatures will also likely exist in a rather narrow range with the days in the low nineties while the nights will only see a drop to 70 or so. That's pretty much how the entire work week shapes up. For some one like me, it will be one big weather yawn...

Update: Beginning Thursday, June 23 there will be increasing chances for thunderstorms across all of southern Missouri. This pattern will continue through Sunday, at least!

Update: HEAT ADVISORY in place for Wednesday, June 22!

Today will be a hot one FOLKS. The combination of the upper level ridge over the region, ample sunshine, strong southerly winds and increasing dew points (humidity) will make heat indexes climb into the 102 to 107 range. Actual temperatures may climb into the middle to upper 90s for all but south central Missouri. Expect near record temperatures Wednesday afternoon for the Taney Co8unty area!

And don't expect the night time to be a big improvement as the lows may only be somewhere in the mid 70's! And that will be the modis operandi for the next few days on into the weekend when the only relief will be from occasional showers.

There is a chance that things might moderate a bit next week, but it won't feel like much. For myself, I plan to spend time watching my electric meter spin....

Update: Relief coming? The weather pattern for the start of July may feature almost north to south upper level flow. This would signal a much cooler potential period with models suggesting highs in the lower 80 to even upper 70s for the end of next week.


Thursday, June 16, 2016

Some relief from the heat next week!

Forsyth MO – While citizens will be forced to put up with temperatures in the nineties for another few days, the ridge of high pressure that helped to sustain the heat will retrograde off to the west on Monday, June 20th. This will help to set up a northwesterly flow that will both cool us all off a bit while opening the door for some needed thunderstorm activity popping up here and there! The daily high temperatures will remain slightly above seasonal norms, however.

Update: Sunday, June 19 -  Sunday will be fairly similar to Saturday as highs warm into the upper 80's to the lower 90's with heat index values in the lower to middle 90's. Instability will increase with the heating of the day on Sunday. However, storm development is not expected as a dry air mass will remain in place in the mid levels with no trigger present for storms to develop around. []

Monday, June 13, 2016

One-o-five heat index and it ain't even summer yet!

Looking at the work week, beginning on Monday, June the 13th, Tuesday still looks like the best potential for severe weather with most of the action forecast to occur to the north of the Taney County area. As for temperatures and heat indices, we will see highs in the lower 90's in many areas with heat index values approaching or slightly over 100 degrees across southeast Kansas on into western Missouri.

The focus then turns to heat for the remainder of the week. Look for increasing temperatures and
humidities. Its becoming more likely that 100 to 105 degree heat index values will be seen Wednesday, Thursday and possibly Friday, with even some 105+ possible Wednesday and Thursday. So increasing probabilities of heat advisory criteria being met for the middle part of the week for portions of the area.

As we head into the coming weekend, it looks like there will be a small break in the heat, as the upper flow becomes more northerly allowing for somewhat drier air to advect into the region from the northeast. So, although temperatures will still be in the upper 80's to near 90, humidity levels will also be down somewhat. [Excerpted from a NWS forecast for]

Monday, June 6, 2016

Weather for the week of June 6!

Looking for what I like to call dull late spring normal. The temperatures will be about average for early in the week hitting the 81 to 82 degree mark and then climbing slightly as the week progresses. Nighttime's will be a bit chilly with lows dropping down to the 50's by Wednesday so look for foggy conditions on the morning commutes.

Best chance for any real precipitation to occur sometime around next Sunday, June 12th!

Thursday, June 2, 2016

Relief is coming in the form of a cold front!

Taney County MO - Sweeping into the most northwest part of the map above is a cold front that will finally come down and scour out all the moist warm air that has been hanging around the central part of the US for what seemed like forever! After it comes thorough sometime over the June 4th weekend, cooler and dryer conditions will prevail! As the following week progresses, expect the dry stuff to hang around as a slow warmup commences!  []