Friday, November 18, 2016

Wx for Taney County week 3! Back to the fifties!


A slight cool down is in store for week three as upper level ridging will start to build east towards our area late Sunday and then over the region early next week. This will allow the temperatures to warm into the 50's on Sunday and into the 60's on Monday and Tuesday. Another system will then race through the region Tuesday night and may bring another quick hit of some light rain to the area. Slightly cooler conditions will occur behind the front for the second half of next week, but highs will remain in the 50's each afternoon. All in all not too shabby a start to the third week in November!

An upper level trough and front will approach from the west and spread across the region Tuesday and Tuesday night. Rain will start to push east into the area from the west Tuesday morning but the better coverage in rain will occur during the afternoon and evening hours. Instability will be on the weak side across the area so no severe weather is expected. There should be enough instability for a few embedded storms Tuesday afternoon and evening with the front. Occasional cloud to ground lightning will be the expected storm hazard. Showers may linger into the overnight hours with the passage of the trough. Overall rainfall amounts of a tenth to one half of an inch is expected with the heaviest amounts expected east of Highway 65. We can sure use any water that falls...

Temperatures will drop off into the 30s again behind the frontal boundary early Thursday. Afternoon highs will moderate a bit on Thanksgiving as a subtle upper level ridge builds into the region, though this will be short lived as another upper level wave moves through the lower Missouri River Valley by Friday when a very weak system/dry cold frontal boundary will continue to push eastward through the region in the early going. Winds will likely shift to a more northerly direction with some increased cloudiness expected at that time. Some fog may be possible, especially across far southern and central Missouri through around mid morning.
Nov 25 - 7:30 AM - 40 degrees


Weekend to be nice! 

The coming weekend (Nov 26-27) looks to be seasonably mild with temperatures mostly in the upper 50's to near 60 area wide. Overnight lows will only manage to drop into the upper 30's and lower 40's. Another shortwave will eject north and eastward from the four corners region early next week. There are discrepancies among the global computer runs with this system early next week in terms of placement and timing. Although the exact details are sketchy, thinking is that beyond midweek this time frame will likely be our next shot at rain.



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