Saturday, August 20, 2016

Taney County MO August weather week four!


Wow! Is fall here already? Surface high pressure will then remain in control of the Ozarks weather through Monday night. Temperatures will be mild for August with highs only around 80 for Sunday and the low to middle 80's on Monday.

An upper level short wave will move into the plains Tuesday morning and bring the chance for rain Tuesday through Thursday. A cold front will move through the region Thursday with additional
rain expected for the end of the work week and into next weekend.

Through the week temperatures will remain mild however with highs in the upper 70s to middle 80s and overnight lows in the upper 50's to lower 60's. This is 5 to 10 degrees below normal for the
second half of August in the Ozarks, when normal highs are near 90 and overnight lows are in the upper 60's

Update for Tuesday onward to Friday: Scattered showers along with isolated thunderstorms will likely develop Tuesday morning as the upper level trough moves east and pushes the surface low to the east.

For Wednesday through Thursday evening the upper level trough will fight to push the upper level ridge over the southeast out of the way. The resulting southwesterly flow aloft will work to
develops a band of precipitation oriented along this boundary. Computer models have slightly differing placement where this will set up. For now both the GFS and ECMWF have the majority of the rainfall across the northern two thirds of Missouri through early Friday before the upper trough finally pushes a cold front through the Ozarks Friday evening.

The general consensus is for off and on showers and storms, none of which are expected to be severe, impacting the region through this week and into the coming weekend.

Tuesday Update: After our taste of quiet and autumn-like weather, unsettled conditions will return to the Missouri Ozarks today. A warm front will lift north towards the region as upper level short wave
energy moves east across the central Plains. A low level jet stream will override that front and induce isentropic upglide across the area...especially this morning. This will result in broken bands of showers and thunderstorms moving northeast across the area.

Update: Thursday thru the Weekend: A frontal system will slowly sag into the Taney County area during the day on Thursday. The front will continue to hang out across our northwest area of the Ozarks with additional chances for shower and storms Friday through the weekend. Can not rule out a strong storm or two but the main threats will be lightning and heavy downpours. At this time, it doesn't appear heavy rainfall or any flooding will be a concern. Temperatures will be knocked down with the extra cloud cover and convection around with highs in the middle 80s. Prepared especially for www.taneyservices.com.

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