October 2019 was pretty near normal!

Forsyth MO. - Even as I did not wait for the 31st reading, the trend line for the month showing a drop of 21°F was pretty much set in stone. That line was pretty close to the 70/44 spread that is the 30 year historical average for neighboring West Plains. My area showed a 69/49 spread which also reflected the typically higher reading seen during the nighttime hours.

Snow in October

Forsyth MO. - It was late October, but I sort of felt that was a tad early for the National Weather Service to be talking about the chances for snow;

Staggering differences in model solutions remain during the
Tuesday through Friday time frame, but all global models indicate a
strong surge of cold air between Wednesday and Thursday. Thus,
that will be the message of the forecast; and not the potential
for measurable snow. The GFS remains the most progressive with
the upper-level shortwave and the surge of cold air, as a
TROWAL/deformation axis develops over central Missouri
Wednesday/Thursday with banded measurable snow. On the other hand,
the CMC and ECMWF offer much slower solutions with the upper-
level pattern, suggesting a warm and rainy Wednesday/Thursday.
These latter models then bring the cold air in Thursday/Friday
with a prevalent dry slot, thus, limiting snow chances.

For now, we have gone with our model blend for temperatures and
precip type from Tuesday to Friday. Temperatures Tuesday and
Wednesday will exhibit highs in the 40s and lows in the 30's.
Then, Thursday and Friday will feature highs in the 40's and lows
in the 20s. Right now, we aren't mentioning more than a 0.5" of
snow across our area for next week.

Whatever does happen, it looks like many of us, living in Taney County Missouri, will be getting a does of some winter like temperatures. A trend that looks to continue right on into early November....

Here's the forecast map for Monday,  Oct 28 - That don't look very good to me...

Fourth week of October 2017 weather!

MONDAY - TUESDAY

Western CONUS/east Pacific upper level ridging with a downstream trough will keep the region in northwest flow aloft. Gusty northwestern winds and dry weather will continue Tuesday with below normal temperatures.

WEDNESDAY

Temperatures will moderate after a chilly start Wednesday morning as gusty winds back to the west ahead of another approaching surface trough/front.

THURSDAY

Thursday is the pick of the litter out of the next 7 days across the region. If you like warm weather, Thursday is your day with plenty of sunshine and very warm temperatures. Afternoon highs will reach the middle 70's to near 80 at some locations. Southwest winds will be breezy again around 10 to 20 mph. A strong and dry cold front will move through the area late Thursday night into very early

Friday morning.

FRIDAY

Friday will be a shocker compared to Thursday. Northwest winds will be gusting up to 35 mph, along with mostly cloudy skies behind the cold front. A deep and sharp upper level trough will drop southward across the Midwest Region for Friday and Saturday. Friday's afternoon temperatures will struggle to reach the middle or upper 40's but with gusty winds...it will feel more like it is in the 30's with the wind chill. A light freeze looks increasing likely by Friday into early Saturday morning with temperatures in the lower 30's.

SATURDAY

The deep trough will be right over the region on Saturday with mostly cloudy skies and breezy conditions. Model guidance indicates some very light QPF possible across central Missouri into the eastern Ozarks region early Saturday morning through the early afternoon. There may be a few flurries or sprinkles possible with highs only in the lower to middle 40's on Saturday. If we do see some snow flakes, it will not cause any impacts or accumulate.

Skies will clear out Saturday night and winds will relax. This will likely be the coldest night so far this season and the growing season will come to an end with forecast low temperatures in the middle to upper 20's. We will most likely have some kind of freeze headlines for the weekend. We will slowly begin to moderate the temperatures Sunday into Monday with dry weather. Another cold front will move through Monday night into early on Tuesday. Some slight rain chances may return behind the front on Tuesday next week. www.taneyweather.com