Monday, October 23, 2017

Fourth week of October 2017 weather!


Western CONUS/east Pacific upper level ridging with a downstream trough will keep the region in northwest flow aloft. Gusty northwestern winds and dry weather will continue Tuesday with below normal temperatures.


Temperatures will moderate after a chilly start Wednesday morning as gusty winds back to the west ahead of another approaching surface trough/front.


Thursday is the pick of the litter out of the next 7 days across the region. If you like warm weather, Thursday is your day with plenty of sunshine and very warm temperatures. Afternoon highs will reach the middle 70's to near 80 at some locations. Southwest winds will be breezy again around 10 to 20 mph. A strong and dry cold front will move through the area late Thursday night into very early
Friday morning.


Friday will be a shocker compared to Thursday. Northwest winds will be gusting up to 35 mph, along with mostly cloudy skies behind the cold front. A deep and sharp upper level trough will drop southward across the Midwest Region for Friday and Saturday. Friday's afternoon temperatures will struggle to reach the middle or upper 40's but with gusty will feel more like it is in the 30's with the wind chill. A light freeze looks increasing likely by Friday into early Saturday morning with temperatures in the lower 30's.


The deep trough will be right over the region on Saturday with mostly cloudy skies and breezy conditions. Model guidance indicates some very light QPF possible across central Missouri into the eastern Ozarks region early Saturday morning through the early afternoon. There may be a few flurries or sprinkles possible with highs only in the lower to middle 40's on Saturday. If we do see some snow flakes, it will not cause any impacts or accumulate.

Skies will clear out Saturday night and winds will relax. This will likely be the coldest night so far this season and the growing season will come to an end with forecast low temperatures in the middle to upper 20's. We will most likely have some kind of freeze headlines for the weekend. We will slowly begin to moderate the temperatures Sunday into Monday with dry weather. Another cold front will move through Monday night into early on Tuesday. Some slight rain chances may return behind the front on Tuesday next week.

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