Staggering differences in model solutions remain during the Tuesday through Friday time frame, but all global models indicate a strong surge of cold air between Wednesday and Thursday. Thus, that will be the message of the forecast; and not the potential for measurable snow. The GFS remains the most progressive with the upper-level shortwave and the surge of cold air, as a TROWAL/deformation axis develops over central Missouri Wednesday/Thursday with banded measurable snow. On the other hand, the CMC and ECMWF offer much slower solutions with the upper- level pattern, suggesting a warm and rainy Wednesday/Thursday. These latter models then bring the cold air in Thursday/Friday with a prevalent dry slot, thus, limiting snow chances. For now, we have gone with our model blend for temperatures and precip type from Tuesday to Friday. Temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday will exhibit highs in the 40s and lows in the 30's. Then, Thursday and Friday will feature highs in the 40's and lows in the 20s. Right now, we aren't mentioning more than a 0.5" of snow across our area for next week.
Whatever does happen, it looks like many of us, living in Taney County Missouri, will be getting a does of some winter like temperatures. A trend that looks to continue right on into early November....Here's the forecast map for Monday, Oct 28 - That don't look very good to me...
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