SUNDAY – MONDAY [JANUARY 28]
On Sunday, a shortwave trough drops
through the flow with an increase in 850mb-700mb moisture during the
day and then moves across the area Sunday night with its associated
cold front, so expect another mild day with highs well into the 50's.
As the front/wave moves through Sunday night, models are beginning to
indicate the potential for some light precipitation across the
northern counties. At this point, thermal profiles from both the NAM
and GFS would suggest light snow and or flurries. We are not expecting anything impactful (sp?), but
could see a very light dusting at most. This will quickly exit early
Monday morning with high pressure then building down across Kansas
and Oklahoma for quiet but colder conditions both Monday and
Monday night, as highs drop back into the 30's to near 40 and lows in
the teens and 20's.
TUESDAY
The surface high moves off to the east
Tuesday, with winds coming around to the south. The pressure gradient
really tightens between the departing high and a strengthening cold
front over the Plains. The combination of rising mid level heights
and strong south to southwest winds will result in a warming trend,
bring afternoon highs back into the 50's by Wednesday. In addition,
these stronger winds Tuesday afternoon will result in elevated fire
weather conditions, which may persist into Wednesday as well.
WEDNESDAY
It is still looking like there will be
a potential for some winter weather Wednesday night and
Thursday. However, confidence remains rather low in terms of
precipitation type and amounts. A cold front is poised to move
through Wednesday night ushering in colder air. The question will be
the timing of precipitation onset. GFS is a little more bullish on
QPF amounts versus the ECMWF, from Wednesday night into Thursday. It
is still much to early for any specifics and as such will continue to
mention a rain/snow potential. It is something to
certainly keep an eye on since there could be potential impacts.
THURSDAY on...
Both the GFS and ECMWF pushes system
through Thursday night with Friday and Friday night looking dry but
cold. Catch more of my junk at www.taneyweather.com!
No comments:
Post a Comment