SATURDAY
The region will remain in a zone of
broad lift in the mid level flow with limited moisture over riding
the front across much of the area on Saturday. Model guidance
continue to show light moisture as well as forecast soundings show a
signal for freezing drizzle with the occasional light freezing rain
shower or sleet shower. The main upper level system and support will
arrive Saturday evening and night as it moves across the region. This
feature will use what limited moisture is available and develop more
areas of light freezing rain/drizzle and light sleet. There will be
light snow across central Missouri back into eastern Kansas. All the
light wintry weather will exit the area from west to east during
Sunday morning. We are expecting at least a glaze of ice everywhere
with up to a tenth to two tenths of ice possible for areas near I-44
and across southern Missouri. A coating of light sleet or light snow
is possible everywhere with the best potential for up to a inch of
snow across eastern Kansas into central Missouri.SUNDAY
Sunday will struggle to get much above the freezing mark with the lows dipping back down into the 20's.
MONDAY, FEB 12
Monday will be a seasonable day with
sunshine and quiet weather. A broad west to southwesterly flow will
set up for early and mid week with southern winds return by Tuesday.
We will see our temps respond nicely back into the 50's by Tuesday
and 60's by Wednesday and Thursday!
TUESDAY
The weather begins to improve on Tuesday as isentrophic upglide conditions bring in some overrunning warmer and moisture laden air! All that moisture will add to the cloud cover and a few showers, mainly over central and south Missouri would not be counted out!
TUESDAY
The weather begins to improve on Tuesday as isentrophic upglide conditions bring in some overrunning warmer and moisture laden air! All that moisture will add to the cloud cover and a few showers, mainly over central and south Missouri would not be counted out!
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY
Spring-like temperatures are still
expected Wednesday into Thursday as southerly winds increase. High
temperatures will climb into the 60's both days and cannot rule out a
few locations reaching 70 degrees on Thursday.
THURSDAY LATE
A strong cold front will arrive
Thursday night as a broad low amplitude trough transitions eastward
across the the northern CONUS. Showers and perhaps a few
thunderstorms will with the
frontal passage, especially along and
south of the Interstate 44 corridor where moisture quality will be
better.
FRIDAY
Strong cold air advection will follow
the frontal passage on gusty northerly winds late Thursday night into
Friday. This may bring a brief transition to light snow before the
precipitation ends late
Thursday night into Friday morning.
However little if any accumulation is expected.
Forecast certainty decreases this
weekend into next week as a more active southwesterly flow evolves in
response to a developing upper level trough out west. This will bring
milder temperatures
back into the region along with
periodic chances of precipitation into the middle of next week.
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