Sunday, January 7, 2018

January forecast for work week 8-12!


For those of us who have been watching their electric meters spin, an overall milder weather pattern will develop beginning Monday. Thank goodness as we could all use a break! Look for 40ish weather, day time and near freezing overnight.

Very rapidly we are getting towards the mid part of January when the fun stuff - blizzards, snowfall and ice storms are slightly more likely to occur...


A more zonal pattern and a return of warmer southerly winds will result in a warming trend with highs back in the 50's by Wednesday. I can live with that!

For Wed late, main upper level shortwave will track into the plains with precipitation beginning mainly after midnight in the form of rain. Temperatures will remain mild overnight in the low to mid 50s most places, with the front approaching the northwestern CWA by 12z. 


We have gone with non-traditional diurnal temperature curve for the temperature forecast on Thursday with sharply falling temperatures behind the front. Those 50 degree readings at 6 AM will fall into the mid 20s to mid 30s for much of the CWA by 6 pm. So even though it may be a non-coat start to the day, you will definitely want it for the drive home.

With the temperatures sharply falling below freezing behind the front during the day, precipitation will transition to a brief (1-3 hr) period of freezing rain and sleet before changing over to light snow before the precipitation ends. We are only anticipating a couple to few hundredths of ice accumulation with this system and maybe a trace up to a half inch of snow. What could go wrong with that scenario?

The precipitation should end by 12z Fri.

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