Forecast for first week in December 2019!

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Forsyth MO. - Wow! The first seven days in December are looking pretty good, considering the time of year!

Sunday looked to be somewhat windy as cold as we got the backside of an upper level low pressure system.

Monday and Tuesday were looking to be a bit raw in the temperature department with winds out of the north. Tuesday, however with see things warms a bit later in the day!

Wednesday was looking good! Possibly the pick of the litter!

A quick moving system will push across the southern plains into the mid and low Mississippi valley regions Thursday into Friday and will bring the next chance of precipitation to the area. Right now it looks like mostly rain showers for the area with the better instability for thunderstorms remaining to the south and colder air for winter precipitation to the north.

The Saturday, to start the weekend is also looking quiet with fairly normal temps!

Average temperature clothing protocols!

One simple tool I like to use when planning on what to wear involves the average temperature that is forecast for any one day. Averages are good for me to use in the sense that they can help me on what type of attire to consider wearing on any given day. For me there are five ranges to consider:

Average temperature range


Greater than 80F - Stay inside, it's too hot! Crank the AC!
70 - 80F - Shirtsleeves only type of weather
50-70F - Light Jackets in the afte3rnoon and evenings
40-50F - Jacket or a multi layered number of layers needed all the time
Less than 40F - Stay inside and hug a heater!

Liberty Utilities, a reall winner!

Forsyth MO. - While I'm not one to complain very often, after experiencing two power outages in 24 hours (both due to small area storms), I find myself getting more and more pissed off.

The outages were both brief, lasting less than a minute, but were sufficient to mess up some electronics I have running all the time. And, I was beginning to wonder if Canadian owned Liberty Utilities were really aware of what century they were in? Certainly not the 21st!

I've seen a trend, over the past year, of this company having a difficult time of servicing it's customers in a consistent manner. And, I was now wondering how well Taney County would fare when a really big storm system hit over the coming winter season?

I guess we could use the rainfall, but...

Forsyth Mo. - As we close out the month of November 2019, one observation I can make would be that the excess rainfall could be problematic for three area reservoirs, aka Beaver, Table Rock and Bull Shoals! Thanksgiving Day was to see a series of rounds of rainfall that could bring anywhere from 1 to 3 inches of precipitation that would place that month over the norm once again.

The question, then becomes whether or not enough water can be released via the Bull Shoals dam located in Arkansas prior to the typical spring rains we will get come next spring?

A November 2019 look at Tri-Lake water levels!

Forsyth Mo. - As of mid November, 2019, water levels at all three reservoirs remained at uncomfortably high levels. And, I was wondering why that was happening?

Rainfall vs the historical averages from September thru mid November was as follows;

Assuming that the entire area gets 'normal' rainfall through the end of the month, one can see that we were only a little over four inches above normal. Yet, the lake levels remained way above normal levels!

November 2018 was not nice!

Forsyth Mo. Did November have much to recommend in 2018, actually no. It was colder than normal on many days, as the graphic of the daily average temperatures below shows.