MONDAY
Could this be a more boring forecast? Monday will
start the week off fairly nice with plenty of sunshine, light winds
and temperatures around 50 as the surface high slowly moves across
the area.
A cut off upper level low will begin to
shift out of the southwest and across the southern plains Monday
night and through Tuesday. This will bring the potential for some
showers across the region though rainfall amounts will be on the
light side and primarily focused on the southern half of the Ozarks.
As the upper low moves east it will
drag the precipitation south with it. There may be a few flakes of
snow that mix in with the light rain late Monday night into early
Tuesday morning but not expecting anything to stick.
TUESDAY - FRIDAY
A big pattern change will commence from
mid to late week as an upper level ridge builds into the central
United States. This will result in a warming trend with highs
returning to the 60's by Thursday. We have continued to go on the warm
side of guidance through the weekend as most models have tended to
have a cool bias recently. Additionally (especially for late this
work week), southwest low level flow often bodes well for warmer
temperatures.
One fly in the ointment comes early
this weekend as global models bring upper level energy northeast
across the lower and middle Mississippi Valley. This could result in
some shower potential, especially across far southern and
southeastern Missouri. Confidence is fairly low at this point in
precipitation potential.
Global models have then been fairly
consistent bringing an upper level trough east across the central
United States either late this weekend or early next week. There has
been a slight slowing trend noted. Nevertheless, this may be our next
decent shot at measurable rainfall.
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