No matter how you slice up the day, Saturday the 13th of February, is going to pose a problem for many all over the central part of the the US.

Let me begin with the National Weather Services forecast:

‘By Thursday Feb 11, a reinforcing shot of cold air is expected to slowly filter into the region. This will keep daily highs in the lower to middle 20’s through the upcoming weekend. Cannot rule out highs in the upper teens across central Missouri. Overnight lows through the upcoming weekend will fall into the single digits to lower teens. Add in a light wind and wind chill values will make it feel closer to zero or below. This prolonged period of much below normal temperatures could potentially hang on through the middle of February. However, it is worth noting that some model guidance has backed off a bit on how far south the very cold air mass digs in. This will be assessed in future forecasts.’

So, starting with Thursday, it’s going to get really cold outside. And the very frigid core of that arctic invasion will occur on or about Saturday. (Remember to keep an eye on your pets).

The above scatter chart (that was started on Feb 3) compares actual average temps versus power used. It’s a neat tool that can allow one to predict power demands in the future based on what has happened in the past. (The red line is a power trend line to help with the visualization). Note that on Saturday, with a projected Hi of 21° and a Low of 0° the average temp for the day would be close to 11°. Then it’s easy to see that the purple line representing that average would indicate a power use of 60 kWh’s. That amount of power used would work out costing me ~ 60 kWh * 1.2535/kWh (Liberty Utility rate) = ~$8 for just that one day!

The hope is that this bolus of cold air will not penetrate as far southward as predicted. www.taneyweather.com

Storms and a cold front beginning Nov 30!

So, here's the latest word concerning an approaching storm system that will bring showers and isolated severe thunderstorms into the Taney County area Friday night (Nov 30) and into Saturday (Dec 1). At this time some areas may receive strong winds and damaging hail! (Still a bit too early to tell exactly what form of severity they might take).

The system is forecast to move through the Ozarks rather quickly exiting to the north and east of much of the region by Saturday afternoon. See the national radar loop by clicking here.

A return of cold air will occur behind the system as a cold front swings through the region as the system departs. By Sunday night into Monday morning, a batch of precipitation will move across the

area. With colder temperatures it will likely fall as snow Sunday night and change to rain or a mix during the day Monday before changing back to snow as the system exits the region Monday evening. No snow accumulations are expected at this time as snow amounts will be light.

The cold air will remain in place through most of next week with highs in the 30s each day. A slight warm up will occur by Thursday with highs in the lower 40s, but another potent storm system is on the horizon for the end of next week.

Another Sunday and another cold front?

Forsyth MO. - A dry slot will spread into much of the area today, besides the far northern portions of the forecast area. This dry slot will result in the lose of cloud and result in more of the way of drizzle developing mainly south of Highway 54. With temperatures falling through the day, a brief period of freezing drizzle will be possible and could result in a glazing of icing on elevated surfaces this afternoon into this evening mainly north of Highway 60. With temperatures currently quite warm early this morning, ground temperatures will also start off on the warm side. The onset of any wintry precipitation should generally melt, with any accumulations associated with bands of heavier snow. As temperatures fall into the 20s on gusty northwesterly winds later today, ground temperatures will fall this afternoon and evening and could result in wet roads freezing in spots and snow starting to accumulate, mainly along and north of Highway 54 where more snow is expected. The gusty winds will also reduce visibilities within any snow. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued generally along and north of Highway 54 where more snow is expected  https://taneyservices.net/