Last weather work week for September 2017 in Taney County!

MONDAY

The deep trough over the western U.S. will slowly creep eastward on Monday and Tuesday. Upper level heights over the area may be again a tad lower which means high temperatures only in the middle 80's for Monday. Model guidance suggest a slight chance for an isolated shower or storm over the Central Missouri area Monday afternoon and evening. (Think sluggish weather and you'd probable be spot on)! Yawn...

TUESDAY - WEDNESDAY

Computer model guidance shows a better chance for scattered showers and storms over the western area on Tuesday...mainly west of Highway 65 ahead of that oh so slow moving cold front. No severe weather is expected as significant lifting will not be around. The front will slowly move through the area on Wednesday. Try and picture molasses on a winter morning moving downhill. There will be additional chances for isolated to scattered showers and storms before the rain chances dry up. We do not expect every location to see rainfall through midweek or much rainfall if any falls. Rainfall amounts will be on the light side. So, the drought begun last month will carry forward....

DA WEEKEND

Taney County MO - Finally, the heat that's been hanging over our heads for over a week will be lifting out. Cooler weather, courtesy of the aforementioned front, will begin moving in Wednesday and on through the rest of the last week of the month! We can then expect more seasonable temperatures along with dry weather to persist on through the weekend. Then, as a bonus, we may see some rainfall come Monday, October the 2^nd! In the meantime, the lack of any significant rainfall for the past thirty days will mean more trees turning color just a tad early on...

Taney County Work Week 3!

MONDAY

For Monday, the best rain chances look to be from southeast Kansas into central Missouri (Taney County will once again miss the boat), with lesser amounts as you you head south. Given clouds and rainfall potential instability looks rather meager for any severe weather threat at this time. Highs will be warmest along the Arkansas border with readings in the middle 80's, tapering off to the middle 70's in central Missouri.

For Monday night, low level jet re-establishes itself across Kansas, with the jet then nosing into northeast Kansas late. Storms will be possible again in the vicinity of the jet across mainly Kansas and into northern Missouri. However, cannot rule out some isolated activity further south and east of the area in broad warm advection regime. Will keep lower end probabilities going given flow pattern. Lows will drop into the middle 60's.

TUESDAY

Vigorous trough begins to dig across the northern Rockies on Tuesday, while zonal to slightly southwesterly flow continues across the local area. With ample sunshine could see some isolated showers/storms develop, which should diminish by Tuesday night. Pressure gradient tightens and will likely see breezy and warm conditions, with temperatures rising back into the mid and upper 80's.

WEDNESDAY

For Wednesday through Sunday, highly amplified pattern will persist across the conus with a long wave trough across the west and strong ridging east. The forecast area will be between these two system, with more influence from the ridge. At this point it looks sadly like mainly a dry pattern for the most part, with most of the widespread precipitation chances remaining well to our west. However we will be on the edge of the deeper southwesterly flow so cannot rule out precipitation chances from time to time. Temperatures look to remain above normal through the period with the warmest days looking to be Wednesday and Thursday.

FRIDAY - WEEKEND

The area will remain under the influence of upper level ridging Friday through Sunday with high temperatures in the upper 80's to around 90. Models due show 850mb temps a degree or two cooler with each passing day so may see a slight reduction in temps each day.

A large upper level trough will begin to slowly move east toward the area beginning Sunday. A few afternoon showers and storms are possible Sunday afternoon mainly across the eastern Ozarks.

Better chances for rain will occur Monday through Wednesday as pieces of energy move toward the area. This will also cause highs to return to average levels for the time of year.

 www.taneyweather.com

Taney County week three in 2017!

I decided to skip the weather for the second week of September as it was too boring for words.

MONDAY - THURSDAY

After the potential for some rain showers over the weekend, courtesy of a front that will try and push south into the central Plains and northern Missouri, things may then warm up a bit...

The GFS has come in with a more amplified southwesterly flow aloft across the central U.S. Versus previous runs. The GFS five wave charts also support the more amplified pattern. Even the ECMWF model is trending this way. We may therefore hang onto the above normal temperatures along with the potential for scattered showers and thunderstorms. See more at www.taneyweather.com!

FRIDAY - WEEKEND

The area will remain under the influence of upper level ridging Friday through Sunday with high temperatures in the upper 80's to around 90. Models due show 850mb temps a degree or two cooler with each passing day so may see a slight reduction in temps each day.

A large upper level trough will begin to slowly move east toward the area beginning Sunday. A few afternoon showers and storms are possible Sunday afternoon mainly across the eastern Ozarks.

Better chances for rain will occur Monday through Wednesday as pieces of energy move toward the area. This will also cause highs to return to average levels for the time of year.

Taney County MO September work week one!

After a warm and windy Labor Day, a cold front will be through the entire area by Tuesday morning. We expect post frontal showers to be possible for the first half of the day. Continued gusty north winds will usher in much cooler air and temps may actually fall throughout the day into the low 70's. Skies should then clear during the afternoon and evening.

High pressure moves over the area Wednesday and Thursday. High temps both days will struggle to reach 70 with lows in the mid to upper 40s in most locations. Northwest flow will continue through

the rest of the week. High temps late week into the weekend look below average with no precipitation chances. See more at www.Taneyweather.com!

Labor Day 2017 weather forecast!

A deep upper level trough or area of disturbance will drop south out of the northern plains late Monday into Monday night. This will send a cold front toward our area.

That said, Monday (aka Labor Day) looks to be very warm ahead of the front with highs around 90 degrees in most locations, (heck a few low 90s are even possible across SE Kansas and western Missouri given 850mb temps between 20-22C). Low level moisture will also be on the increase, so it will feel sticky with heat indices in the middle to upper 90's. Most of the daytime hours will be dry Monday. Wind speeds will also be on the increase during the day. So get those grills out, party hardy and enjoy the last holiday of the summer! www.taneyservices.com