Beginning with Sunday, September 25, a
weird little swirl of a disturbance, (aka a trough) will lift out into
the Upper Midwest coming towards the Taney County area.. and will
then split in two! One part will close off and head over to to
northern Mexico where it will begin to move westward! The other
portion of energy aloft will from a frontal boundary and will slam on
through the area by by early Sunday morning. This will trigger some
shower activity both in front of and after the passage overhead.
Expect some showers to linger through Monday morning. On a good note,
the passage of the front will herald in much cooler and drier air
into the region. Both Tuesday and Wednesday look to be the coolest
days with morning lows approaching the mid 40's in some spots!
Then, you guessed it, by Thursday
another high pressure ridge will re-establish itself with temps back
in the 80's by weeks end!
The dry and mild pattern will continue
through the weekend as the upper level low out east produces a
northerly or northwesterly flow through Sunday. As the low exits
stage right, an upper level ridge will begin to build in allowing for
temperatures to warm slightly into the upper 70s to near 80 degrees.
Globals are in somewhat better
agreement in terms of what is expected with the approaching cold
front and parent upper level trough next week. Both GFS and ECMWF
agree on the more progressive pattern, which should limit rainfall.
This package has rainfall amounts a bit lower than previous
forecasts. Only subtle differences in timing exist with ECMWF
bringing the front through early Thursday vs GFS, which brings the
front through Wednesday afternoon. www.taneyservices.com
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