Taney County MO - August work week 3!

Forsyth Mo. - After working our way through a another brutal week temperature wise (not to mention strange rainfall patterns), the climate switch will likely flip over in the other direction with cooler than normal temperatures! In addition, overcast skies and frequent rainfall will become more the norm early on in work week #3.

The rain making system will begin to depart the region to the east Monday night into early Tuesday morning with lingering showers expected through the day on Tuesday across eastern portions of the Ozarks and eastern Missouri.

The Tuesday through Thursday night period looks absolutely splendid for mid to late August. Temperatures are expected to warm into the 80's on an afternoon basis under a mix of sun and clouds.

Rain chances appear to be low through Thursday night.

Models consensus suggests increasing rain chances by Friday through next weekend. Weak shortwave energy dives into the nation's midsection, forcing a strong frontal system into the Ozarks. This front will interact with an air mass loaded in summertime moisture, to produce this active weather.

The weather behind this frontal system will be unbelievable, with highs in the upper 70's to near 80 by Sunday and early next week.

Update: For Thu into Fri the mid level flow gets more active with initially subtle impulses moving from the the southern Plains into the Ozarks. We have gradually increasing rain chances during this time as some better moisture starts to return northward.

Guidance continues to dig a more substantial upper level wave southeast into the northern and central Plains late Fri-Sat with a fairly good chance for rain showers and or thunderstorms with lead impulses ahead of the main upper level wave. A sfc cold front moving through the cwfa will also help focus rain chances Sat.

Update:  More organized showers and thunderstorms will approach the region Friday night from the northwest ahead of an advancing cold front. This activity will initially develop to our northwest across Kansas and northwestern Missouri Friday afternoon then spread southeastward toward the Ozarks region later Friday night. A weakening trend will occur with these storms move into the area. However we do expect a good coverage of showers and thunderstorms later Friday night.

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