Cold weather for Taney County on Christmas!

God, please Bless America and Donald J. Trump!

 

Dec 22 - 

A cold arctic air mass will spill south out of northern Canada
Wednesday night into Thursday and make its way into the Ozarks
behind the cold front for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Highs
on Thursday will struggle into the 30's with lows Christmas morning
in the teens. The combination of temperatures in the teens and
winds from 5 to 15mph Christmas morning will allow some wind chill
readings to fall into the single digits for parts of the Ozarks,
especially the eastern Ozarks.

Weather forecast for 2020-21 winter!

 It was looking like it would be a tossup of the coin, as to whether we would have La Niña type weather - 'According to a recent report from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is a 50-55% chance of La Niña conditions arriving this fall and lasting throughout the winter of 2020-2021.

The map shown above is a pretty generic weather forecast with my neck of the woods, in southwest Missouri, being pretty average - A bit warmer than normal with little rainfall.

First heat wave of 2020!

Forsyth MO. - Well, after an eventful spring and summer, I'm back! From where, I have no idea!

Southwest Missouri, along with much of the Midwest will get a small taste of a summer heat wave, beginning on Tuesday, July 14^th. Surface temps look to reach the mid to upper 90's with heat indices reaching 100 plus! Additionally, no rain appears in the forecast at this time!

Some weather concerns for Thursday, Jan 16 2020!

Thursday will be cooler behind a cold front combined with clouds overhead. Expect highs from the upper 30's N to the mid 40's S.

The NWS was concerned about wintry precipitation chances Thursday night into Friday morning. Surface ridging shifts east while a shortwave trough and associated surface trough moves into the western Plains. This will lead to warm air advection over a shallow cold layer. The questions are: How warm is that warm nose, how cold is the near surface cold layer, and how much precipitation will actually fall?

Most models agree that the near surface cold layer will be near or below freezing over much of the area after evaporative cooling takes place. There is some disagreement in the extent and timing of the warm nose. Precipitation may start as snow and change to freezing rain later Thursday night or Friday morning, then switch to rain as surface temperatures increase later Friday morning. For now have gone middle of the road with consensus guidance for that warm nose, which gives some freezing rain and snow snow over the eastern half of the CWA (surface temperatures are currently forecast to be a bit too warm for freezing rain over the western half, but that will need to be fine tuned). While still a bit far out, it is helpful to look as some ensemble spread in amounts for a general overview.

Finally, some winter style weather!

Taney County, MO – It was looking like area residents in southwest Missouri might finally see some winter-styled action after enjoying temperatures that were pretty far above the normal, for this time of year! As it now stands, sometime on Friday, January the 10^th, a strong frontal system will move into our area in conjunction with a robust up-welling of moist air from the gulf. The heaviest rainfall should occur from Friday afternoon on through the evening hours. At this time, the front will likely shift from west to east thereby crossing the country-wide area. As it passes on through. during the late evening hours, cold air will begin to push its way on the backside. Then, perhaps as we get into the wee hours of Saturday and on into the day, some southwest Missouri residents may expect potentially all forms of wintry precipitation; from cold rain, to freezing rain, to sleet, to grapnel and then to snow. Just who gets what will depend on where you happen to be standing, but I'd wager that most of Taney County will experience the event as one of moderate rain with a transition to some light snow late Saturday evening. Those living up further north by Springfield or off to the east by West Plains will likely get their own mix.

The real concern will be in just how much water falls where! With amounts ranging from perhaps a half inch to over four inches, everyone in flood prone areas needs to hang close to their weather radios or to televised media outlets throughout the day on Saturday. [www.taneyweather.com]