First two week weather recap for October 2011!

The month of October averaged about 4 degrees F. warmer than what is the historical standard. This made it a great month to be outdoors as most days were clear, dry and pleasantly warm. Yet, we also had enough rain to keep us about where we need to be in that department. The month of October normally sees about 3 1/3 inches of rain, so we need only about two more inches to make that target.

This trend for warmer than normal weather should continue until about Tuesday, October 17th when colder conditions will begin to take hold. The weather service is predicting highs in the fifties and lows approaching the freezing mark.

I also thought to include the current Arctic Oscillation Index (AO) for informational purposes:

 I've noted that all the models are trending towards a negative index. This would seem to indicate the potential for colder than normal conditions coming in the near future.